Ipsos has undertaken an overnight poll on behalf of Thomson Reuters on the subject of Republican Presidential Candidate Rick Perry’s gaffe at the recent Republican debate in Michigan.
This poll, published today, showed participants a video excerpt from the debate in order to assess possible impact on viewers.
The poll asked Registered Voter (RV) Republicans who they planned to vote for at the Republican Primary both before and after seeing the video. It found no real change in voting preference for Perry before and after seeing the video – this (as with our earlier Cain poll) is likely to be because core supporters do not find that this ‘gaffe’ sways their willingness to support Perry.
However, the findings do raise questions about Perry’s ability to continue to expand his base within the Party: 48% of Registered Voter (RV) Republicans (and 56% of Americans more generally) view Perry less favorably after seeing the video of the gaffe.
In addition, almost half (47%) of all Republican Registered voters think Romney will be the nominee (regardless of their personal choice).
Other findings, which continue to point towards Romney as the ultimate Republican nominee, include:
- 31% of RV Republicans think Perry should drop out, as do 40% of Americans generally
- 37% of RV Republicans think Cain should drop out, as do 50% of Americans generally
- Regardless of their personal preferences, almost half (47%) of Republican RVs think Romney will be the nominee. This may relate to some of the findings from the attributes question covered in the poll:
- A third (34%) of RV Republicans think Romney is most ‘Presidential’. Gingrich and Cain are distant seconds, at 19% and 18% respectively
- Romney also leads on being a ‘strong leader for America’ at 28% (again, Cain and Gingrich tie for second at 21% and 20% respectively)
- Cain and Romney are tied (24%) on having ‘the right solutions for America’s economic problems’
- Romney is weaker is on the attribute ‘understands the problems of someone like me’, where Cain leads on at 25%
- Of the four named candidates, however, Cain is seen as most likely to be ‘too radical to lead America’
More data and full technical details are available in the topline document .
These findings are from an online omnibus survey of 1,520 Americans age 18 and over. Individuals were interviewed via a U.S. online household panel. Data were collected via a national survey, including a screener for registered voters. The poll includes 461 Republican Registered Voters. The data were weighted to national Census data by gender, age, region, education, and ethnicity, and the national profile of registered voters. The survey was conducted November 10-11, 2011.
Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.
Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of a per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding.
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Washington, DC - 14 November 2011